| It may sound obvious but you should only bet on what | | | | Secondly, are you getting value from the bookie? He |
| you know. In this article, I'll tell you why but also reveal | | | | might actually be giving you a very short price. In the |
| to you the occasions when you can actually make a | | | | long run, you could end up losing and the bookie |
| profit on sports that you know nothing about. | | | | laughing all the way to the bank. |
| The Average Punter | | | | Knowledge Is Power |
| The average punter actually uses a whole range of | | | | Ultimately, with experience comes wisdom and the |
| emotions to make his bets. I know what you're saying | | | | more that you know then the less likely you will twist |
| - you're thinking that I'm talking garbage and that a | | | | your own logic and make foolish bets. Experience will |
| shrewd gambler will use knowledge and judgement. | | | | show you when the bookie is ripping you off and |
| Let's look at an example. | | | | when you can see a steal of a price. |
| Bulls To Win | | | | But is there another way? |
| A punter might look at the upcoming NBA match. The | | | | Mathematical/Logical Approach |
| Bulls are playing very well recently so he uses his | | | | The best way is to use a logical approach that takes |
| "judgement" and decides to bet on them to win. Is this | | | | human judgement out of the equation. The human |
| a wise choice? | | | | element is what makes you make the bad decisions. |
| Twisted Logic | | | | A ready-made system is the best approach. Devised |
| First of all, a gambler will twist his logic to suit the | | | | by someone who has already performed a thorough |
| circumstances. Like the prosecution and defence | | | | statistical or probability analysis, it can even be an |
| lawyer in a court of law, you can make up any | | | | advantage to not know much about the sport you are |
| argument to justify any decision. It does not necessarily | | | | betting on. It will mean that you are less likely to apply |
| make it right. | | | | any bad judgement or bias - simply obey what the |
| Are You Getting Value? | | | | profitable system is telling you. |